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With an out of date phone it will be easier to bypass it's security. Normally, cops and hackers have to use a series of exploits to bypass an Android's security. With a phone not receiving security updates this gets easier.
Installing LineageOS will not fix the security problem because Lineage requires the bootloader to be unlocked. With a locked bootloader, the phone checks to see if the OS has be altered, this is called "verified boot".
This video from TheHatedOne explains verified boot around the 10 minute mark https://invidious.nerdvpn.de/watch?v=WkQ_OCzuLNg
It comes down to threat model. Random malware will be stopped more often by a newer build of LineageOS that has updated platform security patches. An unlocked bootloader is usually a concern only if a hacker gets physical access to your device and modifies the system partition. If an attacker has a remote exploit that can root your phone, you're screwed either way.
The link I posted, at the 10 minute mark explains the dangers of an unlocked bootloader. It's an interview with one of the devs of GrapheneOS who know far more than either of us.
Maybe I'll take a look later, but as far as I know, there haven't been any malware found in the wild that can be 1 done remotely and 2 are stopped by a locked bootloader. Even if there is, is that riskier than running a few YEARS of security patches out of date.