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Trouble is as long as this is together, the red states will continue to play just like the Confederates pre-Civil War.
Notice Confederate states were/are all about "StAtEs RiGhTs", and they broke off because evil Lincoln was gonna come use the federal government to take control.... when before they were passing the fugitive slave acts where they could strongarm abolitionist states through the federal government to be forced to allow their people to hunt down runaway slaves (and go ahead and "accidentally" capture a few non-slave blacks).
The red states will do this again, no matter what.
Honestly, I expect the Blue States to break away from a Red Federal government. That said, unlike the Confederates, the Blue States will carry legitimacy with foreign nations and goodness in general. The odds of winning a straight fight aren't bad, assuming that Trump doesn't go nuclear*.
*He will. The man doesn't give a shit about human life beyond his own.
But he is getting pretty senile maybe he will get 25thed. As hated as Vance is I doubt he will go nuclear but you never know….his handlers all have bunkers. I’m not religious but the pope dropping dead after meeting him is not a good omen 😂
Trump is not intelligent but he is savvy, and he has put together a coalition where no one idiot can hold a majority like he can. People only rebel when they have to or when it’s strongly in their best interest. The second can’t occur if you don’t hold a strong core to rebel with.