this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2025
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a slight lead over Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup, according to a new poll.

The New York Democratic congresswoman, known as AOC, edges the likely Republican nominee 51% to 49%, in The Argument/Verasight survey released on Tuesday. However, the result was within the poll's 2.7 percentage point margin of error, making the two candidates statistically tied. The poll asked voters who they would vote for if the election was between the two of them.

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[–] WhatAmLemmy@lemmy.world 104 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

Just another example of how America is collapsing under the weight of its own corporate/oligarch dictatorship, corruption, ignorance, racism, and mental illness epidemic.

An intelligent, empathetic leader is basically tied with a traitorous, criminally sociopathic, con artist who possesses zero morals or ethics, and literally works for someone he previously called Hitler...

If the US weren't a failed state, Trump would be in prison and Vance would be a fucking nobody.

[–] Damage@feddit.it 19 points 8 hours ago (4 children)

JD Vance has zero charisma, idk how he can be in the race but, well... Trump.

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[–] foggy@lemmy.world 34 points 10 hours ago (3 children)

Vance won't be the candidate and everyone knows it but Vance.

I'd bet on Tucker Carlson. 🤢

[–] DokPsy@lemmy.world 22 points 9 hours ago (5 children)

I fear it'll still be Trump, assuming he's alive

Is it in any way legal? No. Has that stopped him yet? Also no.

[–] Makeitstop@lemmy.world 22 points 9 hours ago (2 children)

I really want him to think he's going to run again so that he'll undermine anyone else that tries to run. And then he can croak or something after ruining the primaries and getting his followers to hate any would be successor.

[–] DokPsy@lemmy.world 13 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

I've stopped being so hopeful. The best I can hope for at this point is President Camacho

[–] human@slrpnk.net 11 points 8 hours ago (2 children)

He actually listened to the experts.

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[–] dhork@lemmy.world 22 points 9 hours ago

It's going to be Donald Trump Jr. They won't even need to change the hats.

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[–] HazardousBanjo@lemmy.world 26 points 9 hours ago (7 children)

I greatly fear that if AOC were to run, the terminally online left would pull the rug out from under her.

Any time she's ever done any action that went not 100% in favor of the delusional mindset of idiots who think single politicians can usher in perfect communism, the TOL screamed bloody murder and withdrew all support and hype.

The same would happen in Nov 2028

[–] driving_crooner@lemmy.eco.br 16 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago) (1 children)

Mamdani had not even started his term and has already being cancel by the TOL.

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[–] devolution@lemmy.world 15 points 8 hours ago

AOC didn't support Gaza and is not communist enough!!! I will protest vote Jill Stein or not vote at all.

  • Tankies and oblivious leftists (these people are the reason progressive causes never go anywhere).
[–] TheAlbatross@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

I'm not sure the terminally online left you mention make up a significant enough portion of any electorate to impact the race in this way.

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[–] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 26 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

JFC, "JD" "Vance" is about as appealing as a bucket of piss. How in the fuck is this even close?

I get it - AOC doesn't have a dong and so a lot of mouthbreathers rule her out on that alone. But still, Christ. This is the stupid bootlick that called Donvict a Nazi and is now his VP and sits there and chastises one of our allies like some kind of cartoon bully.

[–] zebidiah@lemmy.ca 8 points 6 hours ago (7 children)

America has repeatedly proven it will not vote for a woman, no matter how qualified she is

[–] krashmo@lemmy.world 18 points 5 hours ago (8 children)

We've proven we don't like centrist women with status quo platforms pretty convincingly. Anything more is speculative imo.

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[–] ilinamorato@lemmy.world 7 points 5 hours ago

The women who were presented to America had many more problems than their gender. I'm not discounting the reality that a woman has to be exceptional to be considered adequate by the electorate, but "America will not vote for a woman" is true until it's not.

[–] JesusChristLover420@lemmy.sdf.org 4 points 5 hours ago (1 children)
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[–] skozzii@lemmy.ca 20 points 6 hours ago (7 children)

I'm all for a women president eventually, but perhaps the elections during an attempted fascist take over isn't the time.

Some men will simply not vote for a woman, it's sad, but it's reality. If a woman is on the ballot the democrats will lose again.

The time will come, just not yet with stakes this high. I would love to see AOC as the first female president.

[–] WoodScientist@lemmy.world 27 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago) (19 children)

Attitudes like yours are why Democrats lose elections. We talk ourselves out of our best candidates. We try to compromise with Republicans right out the gate, and try to select the more moderate 'electable' candidate.

Your line of thinking got us Kerry, Clinton, and Biden.

Trying to select a candidate based on "electability" is bullshit, because you just end up selecting for the most uninspiring centrist who can't get people to the polls.

You think you're selecting for winners, but you're taking your strongest pieces off the board.

[–] jaybone@lemmy.zip 10 points 5 hours ago (4 children)

This argument is frequently made on Lemmy. I’d like it to be true. But I just don’t know.

Makes sense in places like California or New York. But I don’t know about places in the Midwest e.g.

[–] nednobbins@lemmy.zip 6 points 2 hours ago

I hear you, but we've tried the strategies of the mainstream Democrats and they've failed hard.

Hopefully the recent ACA votes taught the Democrats that voting to end the shutdown was a terrible idea and that they should never again compromise with Republicans for mere promises of future consideration.

The Democrats should rally behind AOC and primary all corrupt bastards that enable the Republicans.

[–] WoodScientist@lemmy.world 5 points 5 hours ago (5 children)

If Britain and Mexico can both elect a woman to lead their country, why can't the US?

[–] jaybone@lemmy.zip 6 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

Because half of the people who voted in the last election voted for Trump?

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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 4 points 3 hours ago

Makes sense in places like California or New York.

California and New York are absolutely fountaining with conservative voters. These states only go blue because conservatives like Diane Feinstein and Gavin Newsom have found it easier to voice conservative policies from a liberal party than to voice liberal policies from a conservative one.

On the flip side, Bush Jr won Texas against Anne Richards by running to her Left and pandering to Hispanics and black voters while she pounded the old Dixiecrat drum on crime and drugs. Shortly thereafter, long time Democrat Rick Perry changed parties, because he decided it was easier to get oil money as a liberal Republican than a conservative Democrat.

Politics in this country is way more complex than people like to give it credit. So much is simply driven by the party with the most money or the most gerrymandered districts. What's winnable can boil down to whether or not your brother is the governor, not your race or your gender or even your voting record.

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[–] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 13 points 5 hours ago

I fear you are right. And with numbers like this, the Democrats have an uphill battle anyway, with all the rigging and ratfucking that the Republicans do, not to mention the EC system itself.

[–] jjjalljs@ttrpg.network 7 points 5 hours ago (3 children)

Some men will simply not vote for a woman, it’s sad, but it’s reality.

Can we all agree that those men are trash? I don't care what else they've got going on, if they refuse to vote for a woman because she's a woman, they deserve to go into the dumpster.

I'm so sick of all these sacks of shit making the world worse

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[–] yeahiknow3@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 points 4 hours ago (2 children)

For all practical purposes, 50% of the population cannot be reasoned with. These are rabid animals who must cajoled and manipulated. Hoping they’ll magically not be misogynistic or that they’ll vote in their own best interest for once is a fool’s errand.

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[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 5 points 4 hours ago (4 children)

Oh well, I'm sure they've got a white man somewhere who's about 90 and will keep things just the way they are because to fix things is "undemocratic".

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[–] OldChicoAle@lemmy.world 19 points 3 hours ago (3 children)

I had no idea who this JD Vance person was until he became trump's running mate. Dude you're not popular or interesting on your own. Don't act like people actually like you, couch fucking baby.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 8 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

You've been flying blind. JD's been the spectre haunting American politics since the Obama Era. That creepy little turd's backed his way up the drainpipe of American politics with the help of everyone from James Dobson to Oprah. He's the Republicans' Hillary Clinton.

[–] bigfondue@lemmy.world 8 points 1 hour ago

He's a Peter Thiel project. They met when Vance was in either college or law school. Shillbilly never would have met any of those people without Thiel's help. Probably would never even have gotten a book deal trashing his family.

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[–] nforminvasion@lemmy.world 16 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

Ahh yes... The very free and fair 2028 elections we'll being having. The Republicans definitely won't try every trick in the book to manipulate them or stop them outright. Nevermind establishment Dems fucking over primaries to shoehorn in their milquetoast candidates, while fucking over actual progressives!

I am so looking forward to voting our way out of fascism/ a dictatorship, as has absolutely been exhibited to work multiple times through history.

[–] bigfondue@lemmy.world 7 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

My fucking neighbor has a Trump 2028 sticker right under his Israeli flag

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[–] TheRealKuni@piefed.social 14 points 10 hours ago (4 children)

As we’ve seen in every election from 2016 on, election polling is useless now.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 6 points 9 hours ago

No.

People just don't understand how stats actually works.

What you're doing is no different than claiming any other science you don't understand is fake

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[–] thevoidzero@lemmy.world 12 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

51?

This is what's wrong with people.

Even if trump had lost the election I was gonna be horrified if he had even gotten 30% of the votes. But this... Again. It doesn't matter if AOC wins if half the country is basically saying, after all this, they want more.

[–] tidderuuf@lemmy.world 13 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

These numbers mean absolutely fucking nothing. They could have surveyed people if they thought a rotten apple or pile of shit had a chance to win the white house and it would have been 49% to 51%

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 12 points 4 hours ago

The election isn't won by getting the most total votes which means getting more than 50%+1 of liberal states isn't worth anything and losing 1% of swing states loses you the whole thing.

Anyone who is statistically tied with couch fucker is not a great bet

[–] jjjalljs@ttrpg.network 10 points 9 hours ago

I didn't think anyone liked Vance. But I guess there are a lot of sexists and Republican cultists out there.

[–] devolution@lemmy.world 9 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago) (6 children)

I don't want either to run personally. AOC needs to go to the Senate or replace Jeffries before I feel she is ready for the shit show that comes with the broken relationships Trump has caused.

Vance just needs to be the bottom to a couch falling from a skyscraper.

Not just that but quite a few idiot black voters will feel a certain kind of way that a Puerto Rican woman was supported but a black woman wasn't. (have family who would see it that way).

[–] Bonifratz@piefed.zip 4 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Who would you rather see as the Democratic nominee? (Assuming an election in 2028)

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[–] flandish@lemmy.world 8 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

why the fuck are we even entertaining who is going to be the next when we are not even one year into this current nazi’s 2nd regime?

is news that slow?

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[–] melsaskca@lemmy.ca 4 points 9 hours ago

My poll said the opposite. Twenty other polls said twenty different things. This ain't news anymore. Regardless of which week it takes place in.

[–] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 4 points 6 hours ago

Narrowly is not enough.

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