Big booms are always nice to look at!
this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2025
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I see a lot of this sort of news lately and I'm not quite sure what to make of it.
Like, does Russia have only a few of these big depots and thus destroying so many lately is incredibly impressive, or do they have hundreds and hundreds, in which case it's not quite as impactful?
They've got tens and tens of this size, but not hundreds and hundreds.
One such explosion destroys typically ammunition worth a couple of weeks of use. It does hurt the Russian military quite nicely, but it's not something that alone could end the war. It's one of the many things that, when all done, will together win Ukraine the war.
It forces the Russia to send more meatwaves, which is a good thing: their ability to recruit soldiers has not been able to increase from the level of 25 000 to 35 000 per month, so if mire than 1000 soldiers.are removed from their army per month, their army shrinks.
You seem knowledgeable so I'll ask what is probably an embarrassingly naive question!
What stops Ukraine from identifying and using drones to destroy all such facilities? Is it an issue of being close enough to pilot drones, difficulty in identifying facilities, other factors? Using drones to blow up weapons manufacturing plants just seems like a very effective tactic.
I think it's mainly about a relative lack of drones. They do have a lot of them, but each attack takes several. Remember that these drones are purpose-built devices varying in size from half a metre to over five metres, not civilian quadcopters.
Secondarily, you indeed need to locate the logistics bases, and the you need to observe them to know where the target is being stored and figure out what is the target's weakest spot.
But mostly it's a matter of production capacity. They build enough drones to make an attack, then they attack. And then they need to wait until they have enough for the next attack. It works, because replacing an ammunition depot takes far longer time than replacing the drones used for destroying it.
Big boom big boom whatcha gonna do
Whatcha gonna a do when they come for you