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Haven’t We Learned From History? A War Against Venezuela Is a Clear Mistake
(nationalsecurityjournal.org)
this post was submitted on 20 Dec 2025
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The article doesn't really address any of the reasons why a war against Venezuela would be a mistake. Instead it functions more as a review of America's history of inflating threats from minor nations to justify wars of regime change. Good summary for anyone who would find such a thing useful, but not really what I was looking for.
I think there actually does need to be more discussion of the strategic landscape of a war with Venezuela, because even on the left it seems like most people are contemplating this purely as a moral hazard - if we do this we're the bad guys - without also assessing the real human costs. The occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan cost thousands of lives, destroyed thousands more, left devastation in their wake and (by no means the most important factor, but still a significant one) ballooned the US national debt by trillions.
Americans balk at the cost of helping Ukraine, but it's pennies on the dollar compared to the cost of the "War on Terror", is doing massive damage to a major adversary, and hasn't cost a single American life. But now you all want to send your boys (I'd say "and girls" but Hegseth won't be having any of that) to die in a jungle against socialists again, because the last time that went so great?
I agree wholeheartedly. A practical discussion should be had first. Some of the real concerns:
Securing oil for whatever conflict they are brewing. (China probably, whether they view China as a military aggressor or a threat to their hegemony in general).
Energy needs because we are so crazy far behind in our electrical generation.
What will Venezuela, and more importantly their sons after we criminally murder swathes of their people, do? Are we looking at more 9/11? We will certainly deserve it but is their culture setup for such?
How about South America in general?
What about China et al? Will they back Venezuela? The oil there is a very important resource in whatever is coming up.
Then we can moralize.
The dishonesty over the premise is absolutely disgusting though. The action is as well but the lies… that part is weak af.
I don’t think people are wrong to point out how wrong this is morally. I despise how ethics are seen as irrelevant when operating at a large scale. Everything is about the material cost and benefit to us.
The advantage of framing things this way, however, is that a significant portion of this country have demonstrated that they don’t give a shit about morality. So maybe arguments based solely on our own self-interest could convince them. Maybe…