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I believe in intelligent design because the theory of evolution boils down to: if you left your room messy for 1 billion years, when you came back it would be the Taj Mahal.
The real fundamental root cause of my belief in God comes from personal experiences.
What? So first of, it really doesn't. You don't understand evolution if you think that's what it is, but that's beside the point.
You believe that a supernatural sky being made a mud man and a rib woman, who were tricked by a talking snake into eating magic no no fruit. Then 4 thousand years later, a zombie came and made everyone drink it's blood and eat it's body in order to get into the good magic sky place.
It's real easy to dumb down peoples beliefs and make them sound stupid, especially if you misrepresent them.
The question was why do you believe in YOUR beliefs. It was not an invitation to be a superior asshole.
As I said, personal experience. I'm not sure how I was insulting anyone else's beliefs. That's literally why I believe in intelligent design: I believe that evolution is mathematically impossible.
If you think that the theory of evolution puts forth the any argument like Taj Mahal coming from a messy room, then you don't understand the theory of evolution.
Evolution does not "boil down" to that.
It is insulting because it downplays the theory to the point of "to believe this would be absurd and stupid" which obviously has implications for its believers.
Imagine an atheist stated: "I am an atheist because intelligent design boils down to: if you leave your room empty for 6000 years, a magic fairy will appear and create the Taj Mahal". Can you see how this is not only just an outright false statement, but also making a mockery of those who believe?
Not really. I don't find that statement insulting at all. That is what Creationism boils down to.
You are correct and don't deserve the down votes.
The analogy to a messy room fails. I recommend you read this (and the rest of the archive, it's great stuff):
https://talkorigins.org/indexcc/CF/CF001.html
Of note is "The Earth is not a closed system"
Realizing that the root cause is just because you want it to be true is fine, commendable even. Just don't try to justify it post hoc with sciency-sounding arguments.
Also, The God Delusion.
I understand that the sun gives low entropy energy to earth, and pockets of entropy can decrease as long as the whole system increases. However, my room exists on earth, so I still think it is an adequate analogy.
More seriously, I would like to see a mathematical treatment of the probability of biologically detrimental mutations vs. beneficial or neutral mutations.
That treatment has been done. From the same page:
https://talkorigins.org/indexcc/CB/CB101.html
First, I want to thank you for having this discussion with me. I've been wanting to discuss these ideas with someone for some time.
As to the referenced article, a couple of points stand out to me:
Except the room is entire Earth, it's filled to the brim with most elements of the Periodic table, and constantly receives hundreds of terawatts of energy. Oh, and it actually took several billion years, not one, to come from this to Taj Mahal.
Modern science has shown ways in which many of the organic molecules could be spontaneously formed out of basic elements under conditions observable on early Earth. We're also about to bridge synthesis of organic molecules and synthetic biology.
Intelligent design, on its end, gets stuck with several big questions, like the fact our design is actually very bad, just workable, and the fact we share not only visual properties, but most of our DNA with other animals - particularly other primates.
Not here to alter your beliefs - you do you - but setting the record straight.
So the record is, we've never been able to achieve synthetic biology under the most ideal laboratory circumstances?
What do you mean by bad design?
Just because we share DNA with other animals doesn't mean it wasn't by design.
Conditions of early Earth are often complicated to recreate, and it takes a lot of simultaneous reactions going just right to make it work - but Earth had billions of years, and we don't have such a luxury. Still, we are very close, and we already created a lot of biomolecules out of basic blocks like water, carbon dioxide, and ammonia.
Humans have plenty of faults in their design - why do we have reproductive organs, which need to be kept clean, right next or combined with exhaust (urethra/rectum)? Why do we have two legs and vertical organization of the body that adds huge gravitational stress? Why do we have pelvis shaped in a way that makes birthing more painful and complicated? Why people with uterus have bloody and painful periods? Why do we have so many vulnerable spots on the body where they should clearly be reinforced? etc. etc.
We also have plenty of rudimentary organs we don't need anymore, that are either just sitting there for no intelligent reason at all, or are actively causing trouble for us (like appendix or wisdom teeth).
This all doesn't fall into the line of intelligent design, unless divine creatures just enjoy crafting us at random and see how we survive anyway.
Sure, they could still do that, they may engineer us in a very odd and imperfect way, they could make our DNA similar to other animals to make us guess if we actually descent from them instead, etc. But this involves so much jumping through the hoops we may as well cut it off with Occam's razor. Evolutionary theory offers clear sequence of how we got where we are, it shows clear relation of all living organisms and the ways they develop into what we know today. So, it wins.