this post was submitted on 15 Jun 2025
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It was an incredible day and I'm proud of everyone.
But I'm just gonna say it. I think it's dangerous to focus so much on the "3.5%" number. The danger is that it creates an expectation of change, and of people becoming disillusioned and resigned when change doesn't happen. The authoritarian world is learning the same things we are, and some new things as well. One thing they have learned is how to wait out protests, and to use them to their own advantage.
Historical observation is not the same thing as determinism, and I do not and have not thought that Trump would submit based on some "magic number" of protestors. (As if he were the one even leading the ICE crackdown - oh, no, that's Stephen Miller, a true believer and someone who will keep doing it for free if 99% of the country were openly in revolt against him.)
I think a better focus is instead to see this as a fantastic show of force, and use it to recommit to the resistance to Trump and Miller and Noem and all of the fascists and their sycophants. It will take many more events and likely even a general strike before Congress, the courts and others with power to oppose Trump actually rethink their obsequiousness. But yesterday showed it is possible - please don't forget that when you're asking, "Where's the change?"
Keep growing and its fine. The real change will happen midterm elections, that's when fear of losing your congressional job comes into play.