sp3ctr4l

joined 2 weeks ago
[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 27 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

A nearly 50% drop in booked global TEUs?

TEU means Twenty Foot Equivalent Units, your basic standard shipping container.

Yes, yes, this is astoundingly, apocalyptically bad.

America will be more fucked than others, but this is Great Depression 2.0.

If this persists, and you end up with a the rest of the year of roughly half the TEU... well you'd go from about 900m TEU to about 550m TEU.

The last time global sea trade clocked in at about 550m TEU was 2010.

https://transportgeography.org/contents/chapter5/intermodal-transportation-containerization/world-container-throughput/

So... yeah, just wipe out the last 15 years worth of volume of world trade, and economic activity/growth enabled by that, and oh also you have about 1 billion more mouths to feed than in 2010.

Or... if you look at it in terms of % change.... its hard to find detailed, historical, week by week figures without paying for the data, but the entirety of the GFC hitting the global economy in 2009 resulted in an 8.5% decrease in global TEU from 2008.

So... it remains to be seen how long and strong the current downturn in TEU will persist...

But, if you say 2025 TEU drops by 30% in aggregate for the rest of this year... that is a 2025 that has a -22.5% 'growth' in total world trade volume, almost 3x as bad as the 07 08 09 GFC, the impact of which was seen in the -8.5% of 2009.

These are spitball guess numbers, I can't predict the future... but I do have a degree in Econ and I used to work as an executive level data analyst for a large mulinational, US based import export firm... so its moderately informed spitball guess.

This is Great Depression 2.0, this will make the GFC look like childs play. This is tens or hundreds of millions of people (globally) going broke, becoming homeless, starving to death levels of bad.

The only way to prevent that at this point is ... well basically step one is America needs to impeach and imprison every Trump administration member... but that is uh... not guaranteed, to say the least.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

For me, the image of this post... is like... a crying, clipart style cartoon soccer ball, that is animated in a few frames of a radial series of dots filling up around the soccer ball, and then when the dots circle the entire soccer ball, it like... jumps, and makes a more pained, cartoon expression.

collapsed inline media

Maybe this is some very weird glitch or quirk on my end, or results from the particular lemmy browser app I am using? (Thunder)

It has stayed this way for almost 2 days now, I am not hallucinating lol, but apparently no one else is seeing this?

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I... would also have thought this as well.

Just have a player host their own instance, everyone connects to them, and have some kind of fallback system in place in case the host disconnects.

Then, next step, make it so that once that basic framework is setup, maybe also have a basic host migration thing within an established group of players, basically ping everyone to everyone and pick the person who has the lowest average ping to everyone else as the host.

I do not undertand at all why this game ... needs a central server at all.

It is described as an 'online only' game.

I have not played it, but it seems like the levels are small, the default player count is 6, but a lot of the game is based on physics interactions...

Closest comparison I can think of is fucking about on GMod with 6 people, which you could probably pull off with your own self hosted instance, but a higher player count (which is apparently the main thrust of these mods that they say are anihilating their bandwidth) would need an actual dedicated server to avoid desync and lagging into oblivion.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 32 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (4 children)

https://www.pcgamer.com/games/horror/after-repo-kinda-blew-up-its-developer-asks-the-community-for-advice-on-how-to-make-matchmaking-lobbies/

They are apparently a small dev team and ... this is their first multiplayer game, ever.

So cutting them some slack is I think warranted.

They say they are considering making matchmaking lobbies as a feature... by which they presumably mean some kind of private servers?

I really don't know, 'matchmaking lobby' is an extremely broad term that could mean basically anything from self hosted servers... to rentable/configurable dedicated servers... ???

Apparently right now it is all centrally piped into their own servers, and is reliant on Steam invites to actually get people together into a session.

They say they are worries that if they add 'matchmaking lobbies', that introduces the problem of hackers... and to solve hackers, they would need an anticheat, which would break mods.

I... do not understand how that makes sense, there have been many multiplayer games with both mods and anticheat.

You could go with a less intrusive AC like VAC... it does work on many non source engine games, though I don't know what the liscensing costs would be... and then just integrate mods into the steam workshop?

Or some other AC solution, and have some other method of basically submitting mods for some kind of review and standardization with the AC... and then just also have an option for AC-off servers, so you could test your wip mods?

I guess we really have gotten to the point where modern devs just actually cannot fathom how mods and AC could work together.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 week ago

What if Hegseth is driving this particular bus, but Petey needs Trump to blow on the interlock device so that he can actually start thr ignition?

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 21 points 1 week ago

Whiskey Leaks 2: The Tippsyening

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 12 points 1 week ago

That certainly is the logic they use when they cruise around with Stingray devices in their cruisers that honeypot/MiTM every single 4g/5g/Wifi drevice in a 100m+ radius.

iF yOu hAvE nOThInG to HiDE yOU HavE nOtHInG toO WoRRy abOUt

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 week ago

I try to keep between 68 F and 72 F, but uh, the thermostat's method of measuring the actual temperature in the apartment is completely, laughably busted, so... hot days it goes on 62, cold days it goes on 84.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 17 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

No. Autism is not a reason to be a bigot.

Autist here, completely agree.

Many subtle, more context dependent social cues took me a lot longer than NTs, Allistic people, to figure out... though I excelled at school and have gone on to hold highly technical data analysis/reporting, db admin type jobs.

Blatant bigotry is... not a very subtle or context dependent thing to understand.

This fairly young 19F girl comes from a bigotted family that has completely or mostly normalized this kind of behavior, and has also infantalized her into believing Autism and ADHD are excuses for her poor behavior, as opposed to explanations.

Right wing bigots tend to treat Autism (and really any mental disorder) as basically 'they're retards, just expect them to be shitty, and also I am a hero for raising a retard baby', as opposed to actually taking time to learn the ins and outs of how their minds operate differently, and learn together how to bridge that gap, with a bit of accomodation coming from both sides.

This often results in infantilization of the kid, of just taking away their agency, instead of actually putting in the extra work to help them build up their agency and tweak or tune their worldview to be a bit more aligned with, or at least aware of, how much of the world doesn't operate by the rules that an Autistic person would default to.

(Just go look at how RFK Jr apparently think we are literally pants shittingly stupid and will never pay taxes or go on a date... given the Kennedy family history of literally lobotomizing his own aunt I think it was, for her mental disorder... yeah not looking great for us NDs with this frat boy fail son with a brain worm where his brain should be as fucking Health Secretary.)

Right wing idiot bigots are not very good at critical thinking, so... yeah, it makes sense that they also suck at teaching critical thinking.

I have often seen this produce many additional behavioral problems in other younger Autistic people... because their idiot familes basically Munchausen-by-proxy their Autistic kids into beleiving they are far, far less capable generally than they actually are.

In a sense, her family was probably bigoted toward her by treating her as a caricature of what Autism actually is during her most fundamental developmental years... needlessly stifling her mental development... so now she is doing the same and broadly being bigoted toward other people with other 'labels' that fit into other 'boxes'.

This girl needs to learn to stop excusing her bigotrd shittiness by pointing at her mental conditions.

There are plenty of people with Autism and/or ADHD who ... yes their minds work differently, but they aren't all raging bigots, thats on her.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 8 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

The Anarchist's Cookbook is mostly bullshit.

A few ways for how to do fraud back in the 60s, that haven't worked for 40 years now, a few recipes for bullshit drugs that aren't real, a few useful methods for sabotaging stuff mixed in with other useless ones, and basically a bunch of high school/college pranks taken too far.

... You can easily find old US Army field manuals with much, much more accurate and still useful information.

Your first step is going to be figuring out the OPSEC required to even acquire information without anyone being able to easily track that you are doing so.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I remember a few more terms and phrases...

But... ok so this may also sound ridiculous, but basically, when I speak in Japanese, I find my tone just naturally shifts to be lower, bassier.

I am decently good at singing in English, and am a baritone.

But when I just normally speak in English, its usually a bit higher pitched than the middle point of my singing range.

... But when I speak in Japanese, it is either at or lower than the middle point of my English singing range.

I do not do this intentionally and am not sure why... I do this, lol.

Maybe it is again trained into me from associating shouting out numbers and osu in Japanese with very intentional diapraghm/breathing control from Karate?

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 1 week ago

That... the wild motorcycles... may be a subgroup of the rockabilly group, or another group?

I am not sure lol.

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