I guess Trump is going to get that 3rd term after all
this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2025
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I don't think that it's going to work. I assume that the people who most aren't happy are moderate Republicans who can't stand Trump and company:
Disgruntled Republicans sick of being bullied by Donald Trump and Democrat centrists imperiled by the Left are secretly having conversations about forming a third party in American politics, The Swamp can exclusively reveal.
But they aren't gonna be enough votes alone. The people they'd best get along with are probably moderate Democrats, but the Democrats just ran Harris, who is also pretty moderate, so I doubt that moderate Democrats are especially upset at the moment. I think that they'd have a tough time attracting a bunch of moderate Democrats.
If you had just had an election between, I don't know, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, then maybe you could try to run off with the Democratic center.
The second problem is that the US electoral system always stabilizes around two big-tent parties. It can be disrupted temporarily, but you're gonna eventually get two parties. If one or both of the Big Two parties splinter, they will just reform into a new two parties in a few years. So even if you get people who are unhappy with the status quo, once things stop shifting around, you're gonna have two big-tent parties again.
It's not clear to me that introducing a new party solves problems here. Like, you want a different coalition, you can do that within the parties. You're gonna have to make concessions and sell people on it, but long run, you'd have to do that with a new party too.
EDIT: I guess technically they could get a few Greens, but the American Greens are more of a left-wing protest party than specifically being anti-carbon or whatever, the way the German Greens might be. That's probably not gonna have much overlap with moderate Republicans. And there's the Libertarian Party, which might like more relaxed borders and lower barriers to trade, but LPers probably aren't going to generally be really enthusiastic about a muscular foreign policy, which I bet the unhappy people want.
EDIT2: My guess is a more-likely outcome, if the GOP stays Trumpy post-Trump, is that a bunch of Reagan Republican types give up on Trump, just join the Democratic Party and get some policy concessions out of the Democrats.
My guess is a more-likely outcome, if the GOP stays Trumpy post-Trump, is that a bunch of Reagan Republican types give up on Trump, just join the Democratic Party and get some policy concessions out of the Democrats.
Except the brand name is poisoned for their base. Forming a new party fixes that. The real problem is that they won't attract any big names from either side.
All the big name politicians on the right are the Trumpy nutjobs, and the big name politicians on the left are either too left-wing or they're entrenched leadership.
All these left of fascist, but still love some good old fashioned racism and misogyny shitheads, will hopefully leave some room for more progressives on the left, and the Right will continue in just more dysfunction.
These are exactly the people we do not want doing this shit.
The Totalitarian Party, we know.
Call it “MAGA? Nope!”
Can you imagine if we end up with trumpublicans, democrats, muskrats, and some 4th part made by defecting democrats and republicans?
That might actually work out.