The poor and working classes are really voting against their interests…
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As is tradition.
I wore an onion on my belt. Which was the style at the time.
If you’re referring to the NDP losing votes and the conservatives gaining them, I’m guessing that’s not very common. What would make more sense is for Liberals to move to Conservatives as NDP move to Liberals.
This is going to be much closer than polls and 338 suggest, and I base that on the historically high turnout.
338 tunes polls to match elections. When you go from low turnout to historically high, that necessarily means people and demographics that previously did not vote are. That implies higher error than expected in the models, and a higher chance of an unanticipated result.
Don’t rely on the polls to feel safe in the outcome, don’t rely on 338, get your butt out there and vote!
(Side note, I am a Liberal voter, but this is my ABC advice)
These outlier polls give me the heebijeebies. Some friends are very calm looking at the "nicer" polls. I can't shake the feeling that they're missing some undercurrent.
This is all polls, given that ballots won't be counted until after 7pm April 28. If you didn't vote this weekend at advance, get out and vote on the 28th. Take your Voter Information card and driver's licence if you have them.