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When has Trump lost anything at the Supreme Court? Aren’t they in his pocket?
This is the "corporations are people supreme court" vs "guy they all like to think doesn't suck bill clinton's dick"
The real question is how much do they love corporations. I fully expect them to say something like "Trump can't change the tariffs but the government doesn't have to return anything"
I think that's where this will end up. I doubt they'll say straight out say that Trump's unconstitutional tariffs have created a ridiculous mess that would be a nightmare to untangle, but that is what will be behind the ruling.
I mean he has lost a few things. They occasionally rule against him just to pretend they aren't in his pocket
From the comments during the trial, he may very well lose this one.
The trouble is that conservatives hate taxes, and the old ones are just smart enough to know that tariffs are just another way of taxing things. If you go back through Project 2025, you'll find two opinions on them. One took the libertarian view that tariffs are bad, period. The other took the protectionism view that some tariffs were necessary in order to beat China. Neither wanted such gigantic, across the board tariffs.
The old conservatives on the court were making some very skeptical questions of the Administration lawyers, and didn't seem to be buying the answers. We'll see what happens when the ruling comes out, but that sort of thing is a pretty reliable signal of where they're going to land.
All that said, what's going to happen is that after prices to average people rose due to tariffs, the payback will go to the companies that imported things, and they'll pocket the money.
Also, the prices won't go back down to pre-tariff levels.