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I say this as someone who loves AOC and what she does.....
If AOC runs, she will lose.
That's just the state of the nation right now. The only thing America hates more than women is a progressive. The culture of the country right now is way too volatile. The country just isn't ready for a female president. Not because a woman can't do it... but because the country is way too far gone with sexism and misogyny.
It was a long shot when Hillary ran, it was long shot when Kamala ran. If you think it's not a long shot now after the MAGA crowd has been systematically destroying everything..... and you want to run a Berniecrat woman? At this time? In this country?
I think you are right, and I also think it would be better for USA to "normalize" and find its center first.
Then AOC will have better chances of actually accomplishing something.
Now we can only hope (as a foreigner) that USA will normalize, and not become a dictatorship.