this post was submitted on 25 Jun 2025
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Since 1970, productivity has increased by 86%. That suggests the output of a 40 hour work week in 1970 could be done in under 22 hours with the same inflation-adjusted wage. That's not even considering the productivity increases caused by industrialization in the century before 1970 (though the 40 hour work week in the US wasn't set until 1938).
Admittedly, this is a bit of a naive way of looking at the numbers, but it gives ballpark ideas of how far we might be able to go.
Note that real (inflation-adjusted) pay has only increased 32% in the same time period. This, BTW, is a much more robust argument than saying real pay has flatlined since 1970. Real wages are, in fact, up during that time period, but it's possible the numbers will shift again over time and return to being flat or down. The pay-productivity gap, however, has only been widening with time and isn't going to be fixed without drastic changes in policy.