this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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[–] sudo@programming.dev 114 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Because then the US any every other IAEA signatory would be obligated to sanction Israel which would be the end of Israel's economy.

No news media dares mention it because they have no proof and would both loose any insider access and get buried in libel cases.

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 33 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Forced by who? The Republican Congress would likely say Iran deserved it, and even if they didn't Trump would dismantle any group the executive branch is supposed to use to enforce them as he was pushing for with Russia .

Their biggest trading partner is China .. not sure what they would do

[–] kayky@thelemmy.club 21 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It has nothing to do with a 'republican' congress.

Democrats wouldn't stand up to Israel either and you're delusional if you think otherwise.

[–] sudo@programming.dev 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I'm talking about the present, where everyone knows Israel has nukes but not officially. Not some future scenario where Israel nukes Iran.

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Why would you think they would need to be sanctioned for not using them? China and India both have nuclear weapons and have small skirmishes (granted not as big as this) and we don't discuss sanctioning both of them for it. I would think threatening to use or using them would be the only scenarios where sanctions would be "forced hand" for lack of a better term.

[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

China and India both have nuclear weapons and have small skirmishes (granted not as big as this) and we don’t discuss sanctioning both of them for it.

nor india and pakistan. that's the conflict I worry about more.

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 1 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

I saw elsewhere that Pakistan stated they would be attacking Israel back with nukes if Israel used them against Iran. Which is why I assume it's a given they won't be used and we won't have to worry about them coming into play

[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world 1 points 22 hours ago

Which is why I assume it’s a given they won’t be used and we won’t have to worry about them coming into play

yeeeah, I do wonder about that. the world has seen what a few madmen can get away with for a decade here and there... doesn't seem to be stabilizing.

[–] sudo@programming.dev 2 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Any state that signs the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty is obligated to sanction any other state that didn't but has nuclear weapons.

China is an authorized to have nukes in the NPT as NWS. However, neither India nor Pakistan are NPT signatories and get mixed sanctions based on who is doing it. The US has sanctions on Pakistan but overt nuclear deals with India. China has deals with Pakistan. Australia had sanctions on India until recently.

Basically international law is only enforced if politically expedient. It shouldn't surprise you that Israel certainly wouldn't actually face any actual sanctions if they declared they had nukes. But they are legitimately afraid of getting the Apartheid South Africa treatment so they don't give any ground on the issue.

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 1 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah I don't see why anyone would care bout that treaty if people can ignore it. Shit the U.S. /India have 1.5 billion dollar satellite being launched into space this week from India. I don't see why we would be sanctioning people and building future endeavors with them.

[–] sudo@programming.dev 1 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah I don’t see why anyone would care bout that treaty if people can ignore it.

Except we magically give all the shits about it when it comes to Iran. All treaties are selectively applied. Welcome to the world of foreign relations.

[–] LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world 0 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

It's an interesting satellite though if you hadn't seen anything about it yet.

https://www.sciencealert.com/nasa-teams-up-with-india-to-launch-first-of-its-kind-1-5-billion-satellite

Seems like it can monitor everything down to moisture levels in soil and is supposed to pass the data for free to research companies, but of course that's what they say now, and who knows how that will play out. Otherwise building agricultural models and seeing how areas are changing over time could be really neat.

[–] Maeve@kbin.earth 18 points 1 day ago

Plus they killed the last people who were telling.

[–] MuskyMelon@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago

sanction Israel

Yeah that's not happening

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 20 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago) (1 children)

Hahha there is tons of proof, if you use the standard the US used to claim Iraq had WMD and then invade them.

Difference being that Israel actually has nukes and does everything they can for a very long time to stop the IAEA from getting assigned to look at them...

...and Saddam actually let weapons inspectors in, because the only chemical weapons he still had were old artillery shells we fucking sold him in the 80s, ageing and leaking in a few armories that had been cordoned off as hazardous waste dumps.

....

Howabout the fact that Israel has a nuclear weapons doctrine?

That you can find random essays written by West Point grads in 30 seconds of websearching... that are about Israel's nuclear doctrine?

https://mwi.westpoint.edu/israel-samson-option-interconnected-world/

Despite Israel also having a 'nuclear ambiguity' policy?

Despite also Ephraim Katzir, Moshe Dayan, Shimon Peres and Ehud Olmert all actually making public statements that Israel does have nuclear weapons?

That they caused a giant fucking scandal back in the 60s by stealing actual fissile material from NUMEC, a US company that uh, refines weapons grades uranium?

Look up 'Apollo Affair'.

That the CIA believed Israel had working nukes back in '75?

That they conducted a nuclear test in cooperation with South Africa in '79?

'Vela Incident'.

That the French helped them build an enrichment facility outside of Dimona in the Negev, that an unclassified US report released in 1980 concluded its had working, functional capacity since 1965?

https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015011997288&view=1up&seq=433

...

Why?

Why doesn't the world openly call out this bullshit?

Well it certainly couldn't have anything to do with Mossad and Jeffery Epstein, no sir, nothing like that, definitely not that.

[–] sudo@programming.dev 3 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Sorry for the confusion when I said "no proof". I meant "no official sources". Everyone knows Israel has nukes they just have to pretend they aren't for the legal reasons I stated.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago) (1 children)

I get what you are saying but there are extensive, publically released offcial documents from the US government that the US has been very much convinced Israel has had nukes since the 60s.

What... what kind of ... what can be more official than a declassified CIA document that says 'yeah we're pretty sure Israel has nukes'?

From all the minutes (transcripts) of Congressional hearings about the Apollo Affair, which also had FBI reports and CIA reports and I think the NSA as well?

I am not asking this rhetorically, to just belabor a point for emphasis.

I am asking you: If all this shit doesn't meet your 'official source' criteria... what does?

[–] sudo@programming.dev 2 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Its not my criteria, its about what will legally hold up in a US court against an AIPAC or ADL libel case. Remember, we're talking about reasons why news sources don't mention it. Not what I personally think is adequate proof.

[–] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago)

Ooooh ok your framework is media don't say due to fear of being sued for libel.

Uh well, that...

Well ok.

If we pretend the rule of law still exists at that level, which it doesn't...

Then uh, all the media has to do is just bring up all this stuff, all these documents, have Seymour Hersh on to talk about it, read the quotes from former Israeli PMs, show the unclassified documents and just always give context and caveats... and then just ask 'Why is nobody taking this seriously? Why do we not have definitive answers?'

Assuming the rule of law as we knew it in say, 2018 existed, they'd be fine. Maybe the ADL or AIPAC could try to sue them, but it wouldn't work.

But this is all moot because if somebody, MSNBC or whatever, did that, today, what would happen is a Scientology style intimidation/terror/ruin your life campaign x100 on everyone something like 2 or 3 direct personal connections away from everyone speaking in that news segment, orchestrated by Mossad.

And/Or, the entire Republican apparatus doing the same. And then directing stochastic lethal terrorism at them, or just fuck you, executive order says you in particular go to CECOT, bye bye!

Or the Supreme Court just makes another completely nonsensical ruling that goes against centuries of precedent and effectively destroys the first ammendment.

Thats the actual reason why no one does this, at this moment.

...

The 'state of Israel' has no legal standing to... sue the US for reputational damages or making false claims.

They would also... in this hypothetical, you know, have to actually prove, in court, that... that they are being lied about.

AIPAC or the ADL would have to attempt to construe it as hate speech. Which wouldn't work in 2018 land where the law and legal system still exist and work and stuff.