this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2025
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Why Russia’s actions pose a threat well beyond its neighbours: Europeans might be focused on deterring Russia’s military might—but they also need to consider the danger of its political gamble (ecfr.eu)
submitted 4 days ago by Hotznplotzn@lemmy.sdf.org to c/europe@feddit.org
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Russia’s hypothetical launch of any provocation against Europe renders the EU response critical. Any slight hesitation or failure to react with complete unanimity to defend every inch of EU territory would have catastrophic consequences far beyond the immediate military situation. The political fallout could lead to the unravelling of the entire European project.

[,,,]

[In case of a Russian military attack against an EU country], the slightest hesitation about collective mutual defence would shake the very foundations of EU cooperation and solidarity to the core.

[...]

Countries such as Ireland, Portugal or Spain [...] might be geographically removed from direct Russian military threats but could nonetheless succumb, should the EU present a divided front. The destruction of the EU as a political entity would leave the continent’s small and medium-sized countries at the mercy of global powers, fundamentally altering the geopolitical landscape of Europe.

From this to a situation where Europe becomes a patchwork of small and medium-sized states, seeking to align and bend vis-à-vis China, Russia, Turkey or a hostile US, is no stretch. And it would be set against the background of a crumbling single market, Schengen zone, EU structural integrity or agricultural subsidies—and basic solidarity.

[...]

The likelihood of such a scenario [of a Russian attack against an EU country] varies depending on perspective and knowledge of eastern European affairs; but, in recent years, many unthinkable things have become reality. In the past, Europeans considered too many dramatic events improbable, such as Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and, in 2022, its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Any serious planning for the future—including the need for dissuasive military capabilities not just in Finland but as far afield as Spain—needs to temper any temptation to politically destroy the EU’s edifice in the equal interest of all member states.

[...]

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[–] Hotznplotzn@lemmy.sdf.org 6 points 4 days ago

NATO will respond 'with full strength' to any attempt to attack Poland, says Mark Rutte

Speaking in Warsaw on Wednesday, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned that any attempt to attack Poland or another member of the alliance would result in a "devastating" response.

[–] Anyone@slrpnk.net 5 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Rutte according to a report by AP:

“If anyone were to miscalculate and think they can get away with an attack on Poland or on any other ally, they will be met with the full force of this fierce alliance. Our reaction will be devastating. This has to be very clear to Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin and anyone else who wants to attack us."

[Edit typo.]