this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2025
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[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 19 points 21 hours ago* (last edited 21 hours ago)

Fact:

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi to European diplomats: "China cannot afford a Russian defeat in Ukraine".

Supposition:

The reason? Beijing reportedly fears that a vanquished Russia would allow the United States to shift its entire strategic focus onto China, a fear which is probably not unfounded given US President Trump's openly anti-China rhetoric and policies.

I fully support Ukraine, but I don't agree with their guess at a reason for the statement from Minister Wang Yi. I'm thinking that China needs to cement the legitimacy of invading sovereign territories with ethnically similar populations so that China can get political cover when it wants to invade Taiwan. If China is successful in getting the world to accept some or all of Ukraine being held by Russia, then there will be no grounds for the world to oppose the invasion and capture of Taiwan by China.