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Over 4,000 schools shut down nationwide as student numbers plunge - The Korea Times
(www.koreatimes.co.kr)
this post was submitted on 29 Dec 2025
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That's half the student in 45 years!
Meaning it's getting even worse!!
These numbers are insane, I've heard that South Korea is working like crazy to make robots that can help lift the burden of taking care of the elderly. But I wasn't aware it was this bad!!
They have the lowest birth rates in the world, beating Japan by some margin. Since most of the world is heading that direction, is important to watch how these countries handle the issue, so we can prepare better
SK is not going to be a good example because, in addition to the usual reasons for a declining birth rate, they also have some pretty extreme racism, sexism, and a work culture that even worse than Japan in many ways. Why would you want to have kids in South Korea‽
Let's say you do have a wife and kids... Good luck getting home to see them on time on the regular!
What's incredible is that the government's stance on this situation is that it is preserving their culture. What they really mean is that they're keeping out foreigners and not cross-breeding with the riffraff (which is... The rest of the world).
They will "preserve" themselves right into extinction.
Yeah, if anything they should only be looked to as examples. Then do the exact opposite lol
Most other countries do their best to create environments that are hostile to children, but in a different way.
There's a reputation amongst the air force that if you're deployed to korea you'll come back married to a local, they really don't want to live in korea
Don't forget who's their neighbour. North Korea might win without shooting a single bullet.
It would be pretty wild if the Korean reunification was accomplished due to the complete demographic collapse of South Korea.
Though, NK isn’t doing that much better, coming in with a fertility rate somewhere between 1.3 and 1.4, which is somewhat unusual when compared to other countries with extreme poverty.
The population of North Korea is approximately 26.5 million while South Korea is around 51.7 million. North Korea has already overtaken the South in total number of births per year (~340,000 VS ~250,000 in the South).
If the current trend continues (which I doubt it will), that means North Korea's population will overtake South Korea some time around 2090-2100.
Instead, what's going to happen is South Korea will have a regime collapse and then they're going to have a "come to Korea" moment (like a "come to Jesus" moment, but Korean-themed and much more literal). There's all sorts of things they can do to improve their situation practically overnight (from a geopolitical perspective) but they've so far refused to do so (for racist reasons).
Either they're going to fortify their population with foreign stock or they're going to demonstrate "the superiority of the Korean race" by going extinct.
And hardline anti immigration.
Many of them think preserving their culture is more important (or dignified) than extinction.
With countries as homogenous as Japan and South Korea, I don't see racism having a statistically significant effect
Sexism is an issue in both cultures, but if that is a major factor why is Japan's fertility rate right between Spain and Finland?
Work culture in South Korea is certainly problematic, although I would again bring up Spain and Finland. I would also note Japan's work culture has had a massive shift over the past couple decades. The average Japanese worker works far fewer hours than the average American worker, and fewer than the OECD average. The '90s stereotypes about Japanese work culture are no longer true
Here's a better question: Why would you want to have kids in North Korea?
The fertility rate in the north is more than double the South, but here's a more interesting fact: The birthrate in the North has been steadily declining for decades in almost lockstep with the South (note: there is a bit of wonkiness with a couple years in both data sources. Ignore the outliers), just at a slightly slower pace
I used this site to compare country pairs. With the Koreas you can see shared inflection points, such as in 1981, and a general trend line that looks the same
Then compare Russia and Ukraine. A much more volatile fertility rate. In 1986/1987, both countries share a local maximum, followed by a very sharp decline that continues until a local minimum right around 2000. We don't see this pattern with the others (although they all seem to follow the same trend)
Finally you have the US and Canada. Shared local maximum in 1990/1991, and again in 2008. Both closely follow each other in terms of fertility rate inflection points, but not at the some times as other pairs
Also of note: All the lowest fertility rate countries (South Korea, Taiwan, and China) are geographically near each other, with very similar primary industries - high-tech manufacturing
My hypothesis: The most important factor is environmental. Likely an air pollutant of some kind (maybe several kinds)
I don't have much evidence for this other than correlated fertility rates, but it's the only thing I can think of that fits the data
Japan was the first to have a fertility crisis, but they've slowed the issue a lot. Spain and Italy, for example, now have a lower fertility rate than Japan
I find fertility rate to be such a fascinating topic, because there is no simple explanation, although many people will suggest simple explanations
I've heard it's because of the cost of housing, but Japan fixed their housing crisis decades ago, and South Korea never had much of one, at least not compared to Canada, New Zealand, or the US
I've heard it's about how women are treated culturally, but then why would the fertility rate in places like Norway and Finland be dropping so dramatically?
And I've heard it's a reaction to dystopic late-stage capitalism, but then why is the fertility rate dropping so rapidly in North Korea?
The general explanation of difficult economic conditions doesn't seem to hold up when you look at a place like the Korean peninsula. There was a great famine in North Korea during the '90s - the arduous march - where millions died in only a couple years. The fertility rate remained far higher during that than it is now. South Korea had far worse economic conditions than it has now, but had a far higher fertility rate
My hypothesis is that it's related to some form of pollution. Obviously there are many contributing factors, but it's interesting to me that the lowest birth rates are all in countries around major manufacturing; especially technology manufacturing. South Korea, Taiwan, and China all have the lowest birth rates in the world. Many European countries like Spain and Italy aren't far behind. Both areas have the highest concentration of high-tech manufacturing
It’s a neoliberal myth that your society needs to constantly be growing..ie there need to be more younger people than older people.