this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2025
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[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (5 children)

humans crash about once every 500,000 miles

That sounds extremely high IMO.

https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/historical-fatality-trends/deaths-and-rates/

As far as I can tell, that 500,000 miles number is between deadly crashes.
So I'm not sure this is an apples to apples comparison.

Sorry I have to downvote the article as grossly misleading.

Edit:
Deadly crashes are 1,38 per 100 million miles! so about 72 million miles between deadly crashes. Way way better than I thought.

[–] kevingoes@feddit.online 5 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (4 children)

From the linked article:

Since 1923, the mileage death rate has decreased 93% and now stands at 1.38 deaths per 100 million miles driven.

This is about 72,000,000 miles between motor vehicle deaths, not 500,000 miles.

According to this article https://driving-tests.org/driving-statistics/:

In 2022, there were 5,930,496 police-reported motor vehicle crashes (Source: https://driving-tests.org/driving-statistics/)

And

In 2022, there were 235,086,153 licensed drivers and 303,528,576 registered vehicles in the United States. These drivers drove a total of 3,196,191 million (i.e., over three trillion) vehicle miles that year. (NHTSA, August 2024) (Source: https://driving-tests.org/driving-statistics/)

Which is just over 500,000 miles between police reported crashes.

Edited to correct numbers as noted by comments!

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (2 children)

Thanks, then people are not so bad at driving after all.
I checked your numbers and you seem to be correct. Except from the chart it's 1.38 per 100 million or 72 million miles between deadly accidents, but that is still a lot better than ½ a million that I originally thought. I'm guessing 77 was a typo? 👍

[–] kevingoes@feddit.online 2 points 4 days ago

Thanks for checking! That was in fact a typo and I edited my comment to reflect it!

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