this post was submitted on 10 Nov 2025
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The vote in January only requires a majority vote which the Republicans can push through without any Democrat support. They have no incentive to work with Democrats for that vote.
Interesting. That's a procedural detail I wasn't aware of. Is there somewhere I can read up more on that? Why is it specifically that this vote could be filibustered but that one can't?
Budget reconciliation : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reconciliation_(United_States_Congress)
The Senate gets to use it once a year to not require 60 votes. It was last used it on July 4th to push through the cuts to Medicaid, which is why it can't be used again now. January being a new year means Republicans can ignore Democrats again and continue to push their own agenda without bipartisan support.
From Wikipedia:
Thanks, that helps a lot and definitely recontextualises the whole situation. I can still seem some advantage in forcing the GOP to burn their one CR in January, but that's definitely a much smaller threat than I had previously assumed.
I don't think there's much calculation being done by anyone here, but I guess we'll see. With 2026 being midterms, i doubt democrats will pressure another shutdown in the summer/fall and risk losing their seat.