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Just out of curiosity, in this fantasy scenario does the military:
a) unanimously decides to join the "anty-Trump" movement and overseas peaceful transition of power
b) watches idly while ICE and secret service massacres protesters
c) splits into pro and anti Trump factions and starts civil war
?
I know a lot of people in the military. If you were on the inside, you'd see a lot of sudden, mostly innocuous incompetence, because the last thing most people in the military want to hear is someone telling them how to do their job. Couple that with most people in the military being relatively sane, and I'd bet you'll start to see operations get canceled or failed or reschedule due to all sorts of "oopsies".
The modern military has never had to deal with an insurrectionist in the oval office though, so who knows, but I don't think you'd see open rebellion from the armed forces, just epic sandbagging.
Caveat: This doesn't count any private armies the assholes in charge raise up, like how they're trying to turn ICE into their own Einsatzgruppen. those won't be staffed with military or ex military, they'll primarily be disaffected, uneducated young men they can control almost exclusively via propaganda.
If ICE ever started a shooting skirmish with a deployment of the National Guard, they'd have difficulty identifying the ICE member's bodies afterwards. Military units have discipline, but if they get fired on, all bets are off.
That's an interesting idea. 54-58% of military voted for Trump. So you think that half of the army would just sit there while the other half blocked their deployment or do you think that by the time people rise against Trump most of the military will stop supporting him?
I'm sure if you break that down by branch you'll see it line up mostly by education. The Air Force has a lot less maga in it than the Marines, for example.
Same goes for the Officers vs Enlisted in every branch
They won't stop supporting him, but most of those trumpers are enlisted. The officers overwhelmingly don't support him, and we don't generally tell the enlisted why we are telling them to do something.
Edit: also those same officers have been sandbagging him all year. The fact that no one is noticing just tells me how few of y'all have military experience.
Great, so they will keep sandbagging him while ICE and police massacre protesters.
BTW, I did noticed that when Trump ordered the navy to bomb fishing boats one officer resigned and the bombings continued.
I left the officers cadre over a decade ago, so I don't know what the current discussions are. The military doesn't like to move without the people as a general rule, we know that y'all outnumber us by more than enough to make us stop.
I suspect that many of the officers are just waiting for Trump to invite the people, at which point things star moving fast. We don't like fast. Marines tend to break shit when they're going fast.