this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2025
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Ok, sure, but also negative thinking and giving up hope literally never helped once. It doesn't help in real world ways and it makes your mental state worse. Obviously going around in a state of denial doesn't help and ND people have specific challenges a NT person might not get, but ultimately you gotta cling to a positive mindset to make things better.
The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the belief that, if an event (whose occurrences are independent and identically distributed) has occurred less frequently than expected, it is more likely to happen again in the future (or vice versa).
It's not obvious. That's the hitch. Figuring out when to persist and when to accept defeat is at the heart of the emotional struggle.
Yet positive thinking has proven to be better for your mental and emotional state, helps you heal faster, and actually helps you succeed because you're looking for opportunities instead of ignoring them, as well as actually trying those opportunities instead of talking yourself out of it.
It's not a fallacy to try to think positively, it's a scientifically proven tactic.
Yeah, you gotta know when to fold em, but saying that thinking you can do something is the same as a gamblers fallacy is a false dichotomy.