this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2025
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Not only did he lose the lead, he failed to even get elected and had to be given the literal safest riding for a Conservative in the country to get a seat. Which I feel is not the best sign for someone who's career has entirely revolved around politics.
I literally don't know how it could be seen another way, which is how I know his dumb fuck base will keep him.
The seat, that's because that was likely one of the most junior members of the party ("seniority sucks until you're senior") and the election... Well, they cracked 40% which they hadn't done since '88.
So the question for their base becomes "which is more likely, Poilievre keeps most of his coalition together or everyone else in Canada bands together to stop him again?"
Personally, I have trouble imagining the NDP/Greens don't recover to some degree.
Throw in economic pain from tarrifs etc and well, unless you really expect Carney to magically fix large systemic global problems...
What seat would you have expected him to take, if not a very junior member of the party's? He can't win you a Liberal seat in a voluntary by-election...
I mean frankly I'm shocked the party kept him around and even gave him another chance. It's especially hypocritical as PP was extremely vocal against Carney not holding a seat after being nominated as LPC leader.
Hypocrisy in politics is nothing new and certainly not something someone would resign over (he'll have his own rationale about some trivial detail.)
As for turfing him out right away, he just led the Conservatives to crack 40% of the popular vote, something they hadn't done for 30+ years (Mulroney in '88 was the last one) and it took almost historic defections from the NDP/Greens to keep them out of power.
If things don't get better rapidly (economy, housing, both of which are long term challenges unlikely to be solved in a single Parliament) I'd say Poilievre has a pretty good shot next time as the defectors return to their parties and the Right continues to rise among young voters etc.