this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2025
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A lot of it is momentum / inertia? (I can't think of the right word).
Basically, Ubuntu was the distro for years. It was the one that just worked and was easy for new users. It built on Debian's stability and made everything easier. All the beginner guides and how to guides were written with Ubuntu in mind, so lots of new users switched to it too.
Mint built on Ubuntu's success, and made things even easier for people switching from Windows, by doing things like putting the start menu in the same place, and making everything look familiar. Because it's based on Ubuntu, the guides all still work too. As Canonical started making unpopular decisions with Ubuntu, Mint took the lead as the distro to switch to.
Now, other distros like Fedora, and DEs like KDE have caught up, and even passed Mint for ease of use, that history is hard to overcome :)
Old school user here, back in 2005ish Ubuntu was straightforward, even had "wubi" to install it as a windows app, the site was friendly and easy to navigate (compared to Debian's). Another big plus, they shipped the distro CDs for free worldwide, which was a big deal while I was stuck on a shitty ADSL connection that had constant drops.
Mint came a bit later and the big plus was OOTB codecs support. Back in the day that was one of the first walls most users came across, while Ubuntu pushed for a paid mp3 codec (fluendo?) Mint had most audio and video codecs working right after setup.
The UI wasn't that different between the two, considering Ubuntu was running gnome2 (what mate immitates nowadays)