this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2025
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[–] Sunflier@lemmy.world 12 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (1 children)

My money is on Iran enacting a terrorist attack on July 4. It isn’t just Iran’s opportunity to enact mere vengeance, but it is a convenient opportunity to have that vengeance become deeply ingrained into the mind of America for a long time to come. Where we would once have celebrated our independence, that celebration would be contaminated by a horrific attack. It's not just about enacting petty revenge, but it'd be about sending a message for generations. Also, the date is conveniently close.

Edit: Spelling

[–] vga@sopuli.xyz 3 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (2 children)

That would practically guarantee boots on the ground in Iran and a regime change in 3 months.

Iran's leaders are dumb, but I don't think they're that dumb.

edit hate to repeat a standard antisemitic trope, but Israel would have a big reason to fake that

[–] infinitesunrise@slrpnk.net 8 points 18 hours ago

Typifying a nation state by to it's goals, rhetoric, and past actions is not antisemitic, but the government of Israel definitely wants you to conflate it as such.

[–] Sunflier@lemmy.world 1 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Maybe, but how brutal was it when we went into Afghanistan? Who did we attack when we invaded Afghanistan? Who runs that country now? For all that effort we put into getting rid of Al-Qaeda, they seem to still be running things. If I were a religious zealot, where I think my terrorism gets me into heaven, sending a message to the west in such a terrorist attack might be worth it. After all, the religious leader there is like 80-something, so he might not mind sacrificing the few years he has left for a guaranteed entry into heaven.

The cynic in me is going to bet that the Trump administration already knows an attack is coming, and they will let it happen. It's an easy reason to implement martial law. Then, with the ongoing emergency he'll always somehow manage to have manifest when people try to get him to give up power, he'll let the Iranians attack. Then, another emergency is declared.

[–] vga@sopuli.xyz 0 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (1 children)

I suppose the hit on Bin Laden couldn't have been launched without significant presence in Afghanistan. Why you stayed there after that though was weird. That seems to have been Obama's mistake.

[–] smol_beans@lemmy.world 3 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago)

The Taliban offered to arrest bin laden for us and Iran offered to help but Bush said nah, halliburton stocks go brrrrrrr