this post was submitted on 17 Jun 2025
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Former Israeli peace negotiator Daniel Levy on what's driving Netanyahu and why this will be a defining moment for Trump's MAGA movement.

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[–] NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Iran (a country of 90 million people) might go the way of Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq, i.e., total fucking chaos for at least a decade if not more. If you thought Daesh was bad, just you fucking wait.

Small correction: Afghanistan wasn't "total chaos;" it was an insurgency against US occupation and after the US left the Taliban immediately took power. If we use this as our model for a post-war Iran (since it doesn't have the kind of sectarian tensions that created the Syrian and Iraqi civil wars) we'd expect more a better armed Taliban than ISIS.

[–] theacharnian@lemmy.ca 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Iran for sure does have sectarian tensions under the surface. There are Kurds, Azeris, Arabs, Balochs etc. Shias, Sunnis, secularists, workers, capitalists, etc etc. There are all the ingredients for a big big chaos.