this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2025
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There are growing concerns in the party that the political war is not going as planned — that the juice may not have been worth the squeeze and could, in a nightmare scenario, result in a net gain for Democrats.

And within broader GOP circles, misgivings about the strategy heightened last week after California voters overwhelmingly approved Gov. Gavin Newsom’s plan to redraw the state’s congressional districts in a manner that Democrats hope will flip five House seats in their direction.

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[–] NABDad@lemmy.world 45 points 1 week ago

Meanwhile, the Democrats have growing concerns about their nightmare scenario, that it will result in a net gain for progressives.

[–] xenomor@lemmy.world 15 points 1 week ago

Hey Republicans, don’t worry too much. You’re dealing with Democrats. Your biggest danger is stepping aside fast enough to avoid getting hit as they collapse to the floor and assume a quivering fetal position when given any opportunity to push back against your bigoted fascist project and corrupt grifting.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 11 points 1 week ago

The double-edged sword of gerrymandering is that you're building seats with a 5-10pt advantage and stacking them with the most extreme right-wing primary winners you can muster. A blue-wave election decimates these suddenly-swing districts and can even topple deep red state safe districts (the Alabama senate flip in '18 being a classic example of what a big enough wave year can do).

But two years after the wave, when voter participation normalizes, Republicans reclaim all those lost seats quick enough. And when they have the State level sandbagged even more heavily (Wisconsin can go 60-pts D and still have a Republican state legislature), the Dem response to gerrymandering becomes pandering to conservatives as a matter of party doctrine.

The only way out of this in the short term is by Dems capitalizing on state majorities (in Virginia and New Jersey, for instance, the new blue majority is ripe for its own redistricting) and permanently setting districts in their favor.

Then, on a longer timeline MAKE DC A STATE YOU ASSHOLES and then get serious about broader electoral reforms.

[–] TheFogan@programming.dev 7 points 1 week ago

In recent days, aides have presented Trump with three scenarios for the overall outcome of the redistricting fight, none of which include Republicans losing seats when all the maps are finalized

So, sounds to me like... trumps yes men are only bringing him scenerios where he wins. They don't want to be like the girl who brought him unfavorable jobs numbers.

As a result basically they might slice numbers up so that in attempting to dillute democratic districts out of existance, they may instead turn all the districts competitive, and if everything swings like this last election he might lose more than he gains.

Admitted though, could go in favor for him as obviously this weeks election had one huge key detail going in it's favor, the democrats gave the illusion they were actually fighting and standing up to trump. Which as usual they managed to completely screw it up... right after getting overwhelming evidence that "yes this is what we want!".