this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2025
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A classified US military intelligence report seen by the ABC says China is rapidly building up the country's commercial ferry fleet to prepare for an invasion of Taiwan.

The report dates from earlier this year and was prepared by members of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) for the Pentagon.

The US intelligence says the large ocean-going vessels have been modified to carry tanks and partake in amphibious operations.

China is building more than 70 of the large vessels by the end of 2026.

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[–] drmoose@lemmy.world 74 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Seems like it's becoming more and more clear that the real reason China support ruzis is to weaken the resistance to their attack on Taiwan.

[–] rockerface@lemmy.cafe 55 points 2 days ago (2 children)

And set up a precedent that in the modern world you can still just walk into a place with an army and call it yours. Or, well, that was the plan for "Kyiv in 3 days"

[–] drmoose@lemmy.world 35 points 2 days ago

Exactly, the borders were very much set for decades now (with few exceptions). Then, ruzis took Crimea and what do we have here - anexation is back on the menu.

China is also dealing with record youth unemployment of almost 20% - you know what gets people quickly employed? A bit of good ol' war

[–] axexrx@lemmy.world 20 points 2 days ago

I think its a win for them no matter how things play out- either Russia's strategy works, and precedence gets set, and china is free to threaten nukes to anyone 'butting in' to their war to capture Taiwan, Russia fails, overextends, and becomes a vassal state to China, or the war metasticizes in to a world war, and they snap up whatever they want in Asia while the west's is occupied with other fronts (like Europe and Midle east)

[–] nuko147@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

Professor Hu Bo conceded the satellite intelligence could be connected to Taiwan.

"Every capability can be connected to a Taiwan scenario, but China can be very patient," he said.

"We can wait many years for a peaceful solution. I think the US has exaggerated China's intentions.

"I think the main reason China is strengthening its navy is very simple. It's because of the US military threat."

[–] _edge@discuss.tchncs.de 46 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Fuck. Because what we need right now is another war.

[–] AHemlocksLie@lemmy.zip 12 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Don't worry, Trump will just roll over and let it happen.

[–] whereyaaat@lemmings.world 1 points 21 hours ago

Would be hilarious if we went to war and then he died.

[–] olafurp@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago

Shocked pikachu

They've been preparing for decades and they literally have now a mobile bridge to make an instant port.

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/25/china/china-landing-barges-cable-cutter-taiwan-intl-hnk/index.html

They've also been simulating US carrier movement with rails in the desert to be able to shoot it down with missiles.

Made tons of transport ships for military equipment.

It looks like they're gearing up to take Taiwan so fast that nobody can respond in time.

[–] Adderbox76@lemmy.ca 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I have no doubt that China has been planning an invasion for a long long time. It's what countries do; they make contingency plans after contingency plans after contingency plans. You're not actually doing your job as a country if you don't plan for every thing just in case.

It's the same reason the U.S. has a theoretical plan to invade Canada, because of course it does.

But that being said, am I inclined to believe anything that comes out of the American intelligence apparatus at the present. Mainly because I'm not an idiot and everything that that particular country says or does at the moment is to serve the whims of an orange toddler.

[–] drmoose@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

This is a bit more than a contingency plan no? No other country does this that isnt in active war like russia-ukraine or the Koreas. Does India have 100 ships parked at Sri Lanka? Japan at Russia or same Taiwan?

The US has military bases and ships parked in Taiwan, South Korea, Phillipines and Japan, and regularly patrols ships in the Taiwan strait. Surely this is only for defensive purposes? I wonder, why would China have amphibian ships given these circumstances? Would you find it weird for, say, the US to have amphibian training exercises if Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Nicaragua and Guatemala had Russian troops stationed and there were Russian military ships in the strait between Cuba and Florida?

[–] jaykrown@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

They would be extremely dumb to try to invade Taiwan.

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